Wednesday, March 7, 2012

Let's Remember - And Not Repeat - The Past

Somebody please tell me I did not hear the news report correctly.  It sounded like President Obama told a gathering of the AIPAC that the United States is still seeking a diplomatic solution to the perceived threat of Iran's nuclear program.  However, the President warned, Israel has the right to defend itself and military intervention cannot be ruled out.  Should that be the case, Israel will have no stronger ally than the United States.

Yet the Republican Presidential candidates all criticized the President for being "too soft" on Iran.  Each and every one of them declared that they would not be pushed around.  Either Iran discontinues its nuclear program all together or a pre-emptive strike by the United States is in order.

How I shudder when I hear those two words used together.  Pre-emptive strike.  Don't these guys get it?  President George W. Bush used the same authoritative claim to launch us into a ten year war in Iraq.  The United States, he told us, had to make a pre-emptive strike against Iraq to prevent that evil nation from deploying their Weapons of Mass Destruction against us.  The day was coming when it would be us or them, so why wait.  Old Tex believed that the first to draw his gun would win the shootout.  But I'm not so sure.

George W. Bush drew first, alright.  In his own words he was intent on "smokin' Saddam Hussein out", and eventually he got his man.  But at what price?  Ten years of  fighting in the desert.  $3.7 trillion dollars (according to Reuters).  An estimated 1.5 million people dead.  And, of course, the humiliating reality that Iraq had no Weapons of Mass Destruction, nor were they even close to developing any.

In light of the cost of that war, together with the ongoing War in Afghanistan, it should come as no surprise to understand that the United States is in a serious financial crisis.  $15.4 trillion in National Debt.  A $1.2 trillion Federal Budget deficit.  The worst recession since the 1930's and a sluggish economy that celebrates growth in increments of less than half a percent.  This is the legacy of America's first major use of Pre-emptive Strike, also known as "Shock and Awe".

Philosopher George Santayana once wrote, "Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it."  It would seem as if this is where we find ourselves today.  Once again we feel threatened by another country that we believe is actively pursuing Weapons of Mass Destruction, only this time the threat is nuclear rather than chemical or biological, as was the case with Iraq.  Again we are basing our information on satellite images and "intelligence".  Again, we have no documented proof of anything.  Again, we are talking about Pre-emptive Strike.  The whole thing is much too eerie for me.
 
There are a few differences between 2003 and today.  In 2003 our economy was much stronger, our military was well rested, the pain - and anger - over September 11, 2001 was very fresh in our minds, and the National Debt was $6.2 trillion - less than half of what it is today.  In short, the United States was better prepared to go to war then.  Today one would have to severely question our war-readiness.

Nevertheless, the larger issue confronting us is the rationale behind another Pre-emptive Strike.  Can we - should we - afford to commit our national resources, our crippled economy, and most importantly our men and women to yet another war effort based on speculation and undocumented reports?  In other words, is there truly a threat to be reckoned with?  We eventually found out in Iraq that there actually was no threat.  The results were nearly devastating to our nation.  We have yet to fully recover from it.  We must act more responsibly this time.

President Obama is correct in stating his desire to continue to pursue a diplomatic solution to this crisis.  He is wrong to suggest that military action will be taken in the event we are not satisfied with the answers we receive.  As for those who call for a tougher stance, let them study the past and the words of George Santayana.  They might just learn a valuable lesson.

GDGehr    March 7, 2012
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